Stand back and let the Conservatives have some air.....................
The Labour Party is gaining ground on the Conservatives, and could even win more seats in an election due by June, according to an opinion poll published in the Daily Telegraph on Friday. An Ipsos-MORI poll of those who are definitely going to vote, found support for the Conservatives on 37 percent, while Labour was on 32 percent and 19 percent said they would back the Liberal Democrats.
The survey of 1,533 people, carried out between February 19 and 22, gives the Labour party marginally more seats than the Conservatives, although no party would have an overall majority in the Commons.
Labour needs a smaller percentage of the national vote than the Conservatives to win an overall parliamentary majority because its vote is concentrated in urban areas, which cover more constituencies.
The projections are in line with other recent polls that have cut the Conservative Party's lead, which peaked at 28 points in an Ipsos-MORI poll in September 2008, to as low as 6-7 points.
From the Daily Telegraph, Friday 26th February 2010
Actually this is clever tactics on behalf of the Daily Telegraph because as I have noted before when the Conservative faithful believe they are going to lose they will turn out in huge numbers.
1 comment:
The worry of course is (but not with me) that the Conservatives do blindingly well in most of the seats they already hold, win a good number of new seats but not enough. We could have an even worse scenario than last time (where they got more votes in England than labour) This time they might get LOADS more than Labour and STILL not have enough seats...
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